Chase Ferguson vs Kousuke Ogura Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent six-month form, Ferguson's second serve points win rate is 43.73%, while Ogura manages a slightly higher rate of 45.64%. Could this slight edge in second serve success influence the match outcome? It certainly suggests a marginal advantage for Ogura.
• Regarding return game statistics, Ferguson has been successful against opponents’ second serves 48.04% of the time, compared to Ogura’s 47.04%. This indicates that Ferguson might have the upper hand in handling second serves.
• In terms of saving breakpoints, Ferguson excels with a 49.69% success rate, edging out Ogura who has a 48.26% success rate. Could Ferguson's breakpoint performance under pressure give him the match advantage?
• Over the past year, Ferguson boasts a higher match win percentage at 60.42% compared to Ogura's 51.47%. This suggests Ferguson has had a slightly better consistency overall.
• Surface preferences show Ferguson performs best on Clay, while Ogura prefers Hard courts. This matchup will depend on the surface being played.
• Both players have mostly competed in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K in the past year, with Ferguson holding a slight winning edge at 60.42% compared to Ogura's 55.32%.
• Examining opponent quality, Ogura has faced slightly tougher opposition, with an average opponent rank of 363.71 against Ferguson’s 386.94.
• During deciding sets, Ferguson shows resilience with a 60% win rate versus Ogura’s 42%, indicating a stronger performance in critical match moments.
• In terms of converting breakpoint opportunities recently, Ferguson is slightly more effective at 35.24% compared to Ogura’s 33.08% conversion rate, providing a subtle advantage in pressure situations.

Editorial Prediction (May 20, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the comparative statistics between Ferguson and Ogura provides an insightful perspective on their upcoming tennis match. Ferguson has demonstrated strong capabilities in returning second serves effectively, suggesting a potential edge when countering Ogura's serves.

While both players have shown solid performance in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, Ferguson's overall win rate in the past year is superior, showcasing greater consistency. His ability to save breakpoints and dominate in deciding sets further reinforces his competitive edge under pressure.

The choice of surface could play a crucial role, yet Ferguson's diverse strengths appear to give him a competitive advantage. Based on the facts, Ferguson is likely to emerge as the winner in this tightly contested match.